MATHIAS RASCHKE

Papers and written contributions:

Skarczinski, B., Raschke, M. & Teuteberg, F.(2023):
Modelling maximum cyber incident losses of German organisations: an empirical study and modified extreme value distribution approach.
Geneva Pap Risk Insur Issues Pract (2023). https://doi.org/10.1057

Raschke, M. (2022):
About the return period of a catastrophe.
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci. 22. 245–263:

Frey, C., Becker, J., Behrends, I., Erhardt, V., Fahrenwaldt, M., Fonger, C., Harth, C., Kilian, N., Kläver, H., Liebe, F., Peterseil, L., Raschke, M., Sagerer, F., Stosch, M., Taruttis-Glagoleff, F., Voggenauer, R., Vogl, N. (2020):
Daten und Methoden zur Bewertung von Cyberrisiken - Ergebnisbericht des Ausschusses Schadenversicherung
AG Daten und Methoden zur Bewertung von Cyberrisiken, Deutsche Aktuarvereinigung e.V. (DAV).

Raschke, M. (2019):
Alternative modelling and inference methods for claim size distributions.
Annals of Actuarial Science (online first).

Raschke, M. (2018):
Comment on “The Maximum Possible and the Maximum Expected Earthquake Magnitude for Production-Induced Earthquakes at the Gas Field in Groningen, The Netherlands” by Gert Zöller and Matthias Holschneider.
Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America 108:1025-1028.

Raschke, M. (2017):
Zur Fehlerfortpflanzung in der probabilistischen Erdbebengefährdungsanalyse.
Bauingenieur 92/10, Fachteil DACh.

Raschke, M. (2017):
A novel model and estimation method for the individual random component of earthquake ground-motion relations.
Journal of Seismology 21(1):21–34.

Raschke, M. (2017):
Statistical tests for underestimation of loss distributions from NatCat models.
Natural Hazards (accepted).

Raschke, M. (2017):
Statistische Modellierung der Dämpfungsbeziehung für die lokale Erdbebenerschütterung.
Konferenzbeitrag: D-A-CH-Tagung: Erdbebeningenieurwesen und Baudynamik 2017, Weimar, Deutschland.

Raschke, M. (2017):
Opportunities of the minimum Anderson-Darling estimator as a variant of the maximum likelihood method.
Communications in Statistics – Theory and Methods 46: 6879-6888.

Raschke, M. (2016):
Comment on “Validating Intensity Prediction Equations for Italy by Observations” by Sum Mak, Robert Alan Clements, and Danijel Schorlemmer.
Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America 105:2942-2954.

Raschke, M. (2016):
Criticism of the predictive distribution.
Communications in Statistics – Simulation and Computation 46:7621-7629.

Hüsler, J., Li, D. , Raschke, M. (2016):
Extreme value index estimator using maximum likelihood and moment estimation.
Communication in Statistics – Theory and Methods 45(12):3625-3636.

Raschke, M. (2015):
Statistical detection and modeling of the over-dispersion of winter storm occurrence.
Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences 15:1757–1761.

Raschke, M. (2015):
Comment on Pisarenko et al. "Characterization of the Tail of the Distribution of Earthquake Magnitudes by Combining the GEV and GPD Descriptions of Extreme Value Theory".
Pure and Applied Geophysics 173(2):701-707.

Raschke, M. (2014):
Statistics of flood risk (comment on Jongman et al.’s paper).
Nature climate change 4(2014): 843–844.

Raschke, M. (2014):
Modeling of magnitude distributions by the generalized truncated exponential distribution.
Journal of Seismology 19(1):265-271.

Raschke, M. (2014):
Estimation of uncertainties in probabilistic seismic hazard analysis.
Proceedings: 12th International Probabilistic Workshop, Weimar, 2014.

Schläpfer, M., Bettencourt, L., Grawin, S., Raschke, M.,Claxton, R., Smoreda, Z., West, G., Ratti, C. (2014):
The Scaling of Human Interactions with City Size.
Journal of the Royal Society Interface 11(98): 1742-5662.

Raschke, M. (2014):
The average function of local exceedance rates and area-equivalent ground motion relations in seismic hazard analysis.
2nd European Conference on Earthquake Engineering and Seismology, Istanbul.

Raschke, M. (2014):
Insufficient statistical model development of ground motion relations for regions with low seismicity.
Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America 104(2).

Raschke, M., Schläpfer, M., Trantopoulos, K. (2014):
Copula-based modeling of degree-associated networks.
Journal of Statistical Mechanics: Theory and Experiment 2014(2).

Raschke, M. (2013):
Statistical modelling of ground motion relations for seismic hazard analysis.
Journal of Seismology 17(4):1157-1182.

Raschke, M. (2013):
Parameter estimation for the tail distribution of a random sequence.
Communication in Statistics – Simulation and Computation 42: 1013-1043.

Raschke, M. (2012):
Möglichkeiten der mathematischen Statistik zur Schätzung der Hochwasserwahrscheinlichkeit (Possibilities of mathematical statistics to estimate flood probability).
Wasser und Abfall 06/2012 (Water and Waste, cms.springerprofessional.de/journals/JOU=35152/VOL=2012.14/ISU=6/ART=193/BodyRef/PDF/35152_2012_Article_193.pdf).

Raschke, M. (2012):
Inference for the truncated exponential distribution.
Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment 26: 127-138.

Raschke, M., Kröger, W., Bilis, V. (2011):
Erdbeben- und Wintersturmrisiko des Schweizer Stromübertragungsnetzes.
SEV/VSE-Bulletin, Mai 2011.

Hüsler, J., Li, D. , Raschke, M. (2011):
Estimation for the generalized Pareto distribution using maximum likelihood and goodness-of-fit.
Communication in Statistics – Theory and Methods 40: 2500 – 2510.

Raschke, M. (2011):
A model for the failure probability of components of electrical substations under seismic loads.
11th International Conference on Applications of Statistics and Probability in Civil Engineering (ICASP11), Zurich, Switzerland.

Raschke, M., Bilis, V., Kröger, W. (2011):
Vulnerability of the Swiss electric power grid against natural hazards.
11th International Conference on Applications of Statistics and Probability in Civil Engineering (ICASP11), Zurich, Switzerland.

Raschke, M., Schläpfer, M., Nibali, R. (2010):
Measures of degree-degree association in networks.
Physical review letters E 82, 037102.

Bilis, V., Raschke, M., Kröger, W. (2010):
Seismic response of the Swiss electric transmission grid.
In Proceedings of European Safety & Reliability Conference (ESREL2010), Rhodes, Greece, 2010.

Raschke, M.(2010):
Empirical behaviour of tests for the beta distribution and their application in environmental research.
Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment, DOI 10.1007/s00477-010-0410-3.

Raschke, M., Thürmer, K. (2010):
Diskussion der Modellselektion und weiterer Defizite in der Hochwasserstatistik.
Wasser und Abfall 06/2010.

Raschke, M.(2009):
The Biased Transformation and Its Application in Goodness-of-Fit Tests for the Beta and Gamma Distribution.
Communication in Statistics – Simulation and Computation 38: 1870-1890.

Raschke, M., Thürmer, K. (2008):
Defizite der Modellselektion in der Hochwasserstatistik.
Wasser und Abfall 12/2008.

Dawson, R.J., Roche, N., Ford, A.C., Barr, S.L., Hall, J.W., Werritty, J., Ball, T., Werritty, A., Raschke, M., Thürmer, K. (2008):
Quantifying the benefits of non-structural flood risk management measures.
Proceedings of the European conference on flood risk management research into practice (Floodrisk 2008), Oxford.

Raschke, M.(2006):
The differentiation of damage functions according to the number of floors by the equivalent response value.
Proceedings of the First European Conference on Earthquake Engineering and Seismology (ECEES), September 2006, Geneva, Switzerland.

Raschke, M.(2006):
The monetary earthquake risk – discussion of the modeling, the comparability and factors of influence.
Proceedings of the First European Conference on Earthquake Engineering and Seismology (ECEES), September 2006, Geneva, Switzerland.

Schwarz, J., Raschke, M., Maiwald, H. (2006):
Comparative Seismic Risk Studies for German Earthquake Regions on the Basis of the European Macroseismic Scale EMS-98.
Natural Hazard, Volume 38, Numbers 1-2.

Raschke, M. (2004):
Die Korrelation zwischen Erdbebenstärke und Bauwerksschaden und deren Anwendung in der Risikoanalyse.
Dissertation an der Bauhaus-Universität Weimar, 2003, Shaker Verlag, Aachen, Berichte aus dem Bauwesen.

Schwarz, J., Raschke, M., Rosenhauer, W. (2004):
Konservativität der seismischen Bemessungsgrößen nach KTA 2201.1 am Maßstab probabilistischer Gefährdungsanalysen.
Seismische Gefährdungsberechnung und Einwirkungsbeschreibung. Schriften der Bauhaus-Universität Weimar 116.

Raschke, M., Schwarz, J. (2004):
Bemessungserdbeben für Bauwerke hohen Risikopotenzials nach den sicherheitstechnischen Regeln des KTA 2201.1.
Seismische Gefährdungsberechnung und Einwirkungsbeschreibung. Schriften der Bauhaus-Universität Weimar 116.

Habenberger, J., Raschke, M., Schwarz, J. (2004):
Ein Modell zur Berücksichtigung der regionalen Seismizität in der probabilistischen Gefährdungsberechnung.
Seismische Gefährdungsberechnung und Einwirkungsbeschreibung. Schriften der Bauhaus-Universität Weimar 116.

Habenberger, J., Raschke, M., Schwarz, J. (2004):
Modelle zur Beschreibung der Magnituden-Häufigkeit-Beziehung. Seismische Gefährdungsberechnung und Einwirkungsbeschreibung.
Schriften der Bauhaus-Universität Weimar 116.

Friedrich, J., Grünthal, G., Merz, B., Radtke, K., Raschke, M., Schwarz, J., Thieken, A., Allmann, A. (2002):
Synopse der Naturgefahren für die Stadt Köln - Eine Strategie.
Tetzlaff, G., Trautmann, T., Radtke, K. S. (Hrsg.): Zweites Forum Katastrophenvorsorge "Extreme Naturereignisse - Folgen, Vorsorge, Werkzeuge", Leipzig, 24.-26. September 2001, Bonn & Leipzig.

Schwarz, J., Raschke, M., Maiwald, H. (2002):
Seismic risk studies for Central Germany on the basis of the European macroseismic Scale EMS-98.
12th European Conference on Earthquake Engineering, London.

Raschke, M (2002):
Basic Approaches of the Vulnerability Function and the local Level of Earthquake Shaking.
12th European Conference on Earthquake Engineering, London.

Schwarz, J., Raschke, M., Maiwald, H. (2001):
Methodische Grundlagen der seismischen Risikokartierung am Beispiel der Stadt Schmölln/Ostthüringen (2).
Thesis, wissenschaftliche Schriftenreihe der Bauhaus-Universität Weimar, 1./2. Heft 2001. Jahrgang 47.

Schwarz, J., Raschke, M., Maiwald, H. (2001):
Methodische Grundlagen der seismischen Risikokartierung am Beispiel der Stadt Schmölln/Ostthüringen (1).
Thesis, wissenschaftliche Schriftenreihe der Bauhaus-Universität Weimar, 1./2. Heft 2001. Jahrgang 47.

Raschke, M. (2001):
Makroseismische Effekte des Kocaeli/Izmit (Türkei)-Erdbebens vom 17.August 1999.
Thesis, wissenschaftliche Schriftenreihe der Bauhaus-Universität Weimar, 1./2. Heft 2001. Jahrgang 47.

Raschke, M.,Brunner, M., Schwarz, J. (2001):
Die Schwarmbebenserie im Vogtland 2000.
Thesis, wissenschaftliche Schriftenreihe der Bauhaus-Universität Weimar, 1./2. Heft 2001. Jahrgang 47.

Schwarz, J., Raschke, M., Maiwald, H. (2001):
Methodische Grundlagen der seismischen Risikokartierung am Beispiel der Stadt Schmölln / Ostthüringen.
D-A-CH Tagung, Innsbruck

Schwarz, J., Raschke, M., Maiwald, H. (2000):
Methodische Grundlagen der seismischen Risikokartierung am Beispiel der Stadt Schmölln / Ostthüringen.
D-A-CH Tagung, Innsbruck

H. Woith, J. Zschau, R. Yilmaz, S. Karakisa, S. Zünbül, M. Baumbach, H. Grosser, C. Milkereit, D. H. Lang, M. Raschke, J. Schwarz, W. Welle, G.W. Michel, J.Xia, H. Kaufmann, C. Reigber, F. Ünlü, A. Pekdeger (2000):
Multidisciplinary investigations of the German Task Force for Earthquakes related to the Izmit earthquake of August 17, 1999, and the Düzce earthquake of November 12, 1999. Barka (Ed.).

Schwarz, J., Lang, D. H., Raschke, M., Schmidt, H.-G., Wuttke, F., Baumbach, M., Zschau, J. (2000):
Lessons from Recent Earthquakes - Field Missions of German Task Force.
Proceedings of the 12th World Conference on Earthquake Engineering, Auckland/New Zealand.

Schwarz, J., Lang, D. H., Raschke, M. (2000):
Die Erdbeben in der Türkei am 17.08.1999 und 12.11.1999.
Ein Beitrag zur Ingenieuranalyse der Erdbebenschäden. Bautechnik 77, Heft 5, Mai 2000.

Khakimov, S.A., Raschke, M., Schwarz, J. (1999):
Voruntersuchungen zur seismischen Risikokartierung am Beispiel der Stadt Taschkent , Tagungsband zum Workshop "Erdbebengerechtes Bauen mit lokal verfügbaren Materialien in Zentralasien",
wissenschaftliche Zeitschrift der Bauhaus-Universität Weimar, 6. Heft, Weimar.

Schwarz, J., Lang, D., Habenberger, J., Raschke, M., Baumbach, M., Grosser, H., Sobiesiak, M., Welle, W., Bonato, M. A., Hernández, A., Romero, G., Schmitz, M., Avendaño, J. (1998):
The Cariaco, Venezuela, Earthquake of July 09, 1997: Engineering Analysis of Structural Damage.
11th European Conference on Earthquake Engineering, Paris.

Raschke, M. (1997):
Probleme des Erdbebengerechten Bauens mit traditionellen Bauweisen in Zentralasien (Diplomarbeit).
Schriften der Bauhaus-Universität Weimar, Heft 105, Weimar.

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Posters and oral contributions:

Raschke, M. (2018):
Raschke, M. (2018) A Statistical Perspective on Catastrophe Models.
31st International Congress of Actuaries (ICA), Berlin.

Raschke, M. (2017):
Die statistische Validierung von NatCat-Modellen (Statistical validation of NatCat-models).
Naturwissenschaftlertreffen, 2017, München (Konferenz für NatCat-Modellierer der Versicherungsindustrie).

Raschke, M. (2016):
About the differences between ground motion relation and regression model.
35rd General Assembly of the European Seismological Commission, Trieste (ESC2016-305).

Raschke, M. (2015):
The generalized truncated exponential distribution as a model for earthquake magnitudes.
European Geosciences Union, General Assembly 2015, Vienna (EGU2015).

Raschke, M., Janouschkowetz, S., Fischer, T., Simon, C. (2014):
Estimation of earthquake risk curves of physical building damage (updated for the Orkney earthquake, 2014).
2nd European Conference on Earthquake Engineering and Seismology 2014, Istanbul.

Raschke, M., Janouschkowetz, S., Fischer, T., Simon, C. (2014):
Estimation of earthquake risk curves of physical building damage.
European Geosciences Union, General Assembly 2014, Vienna (EGU2014-13884).

Raschke, M. (2012):
Inappropriate statistical models and methods in estimation of storm, flood and earthquake hazard.
10th German Probability and Statistics Days, Mainz 2012.

Raschke, M. (2012):
Earthquake and storm risk of the power transmission grid of Switzerland.
European Geosciences Union, General Assembly 2012, Vienna (EGU2012-14323).

Raschke, M. (2011):
Estimation of the truncation point of a truncated distribution.
7th Conference on Extreme Value Analysis, Probabilistic and Statistical Models and their Applications (EVA), Lyon 2011 (EGU2012-14323).

Lang, D. H., Schwarz, J., Raschke, M. (1999):
The Cariaco (Venezuela) Earthquake of July 09, 1997: Aftershock Recordings, Site Response Studies and Macroseismic Investigations.
Invited Presentation at American Geophysical Union (AGU) Spring Meeting, Boston, Massachusetts.